In-depth characterization of long-term humoral and cellular immune responses to COVID-19 m-RNA vaccination in multiple sclerosis patients treated with teriflunomide or alemtuzumab

Background The impact of disease-modifying therapies on the efficacy to mount appropriate immune responses to COVID-19 vaccination in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) is currently under investigation. Objective To characterize long-term humoral and cellular immunity in mRNA-COVID-19 MS vaccinees treated with teriflunomide or alemtuzumab. Methods We prospectively measured SARS-COV-2 IgG, memory B-cells specific for SARS-CoV-2 RBD, and memory T-cells secreting IFN-γ and/or IL-2, in MS patients vaccinated with BNT162b2-COVID-19 vaccine before, 1, 3 and 6 months after the second vaccine dose, and 3-6 months following vaccine booster. Results Patients were either untreated (N=31, 21 females), under treatment with teriflunomide (N=30, 23 females, median treatment duration 3.7 years, range 1.5-7.0 years), or under treatment with alemtuzumab (N=12, 9 females, median time from last dosing 15.9 months, range 1.8-28.7 months). None of the patients had clinical SARS-CoV-2 or immune evidence for prior infection. Spike IgG titers were similar between untreated, teriflunomide and alemtuzumab treated MS patients both at 1 month (median 1320.7, 25-75 IQR 850.9-3152.8 vs. median 901.7, 25-75 IQR 618.5–1495.8, vs. median 1291.9, 25-75 IQR 590.8-2950.9, BAU/ml, respectively), at 3 months (median 1388.8, 25-75 1064.6–2347.6 vs. median 1164.3 25-75 IQR 726.4–1399.6, vs. median 837.2, 25-75 IQR 739.4-1868.5 BAU/ml, respectively), and at 6 months (median 437.0, 25-75 206.1–1161.3 vs. median 494.3, 25-75 IQR 214.6–716.5, vs. median 176.3, 25-75 IQR 72.3–328.8 BAU/ml, respectively) after the second vaccine dose. Specific SARS-CoV-2 memory B cells were detected in 41.9%, 40.0% and 41.7% of subjects at 1 month, in 32.3%, 43.3% and 25% at 3 months, and in 32.3%, 40.0%, 33.3% at 6 months following vaccination in untreated, teriflunomide treated and alemtuzumab treated MS patients, respectively. Specific SARS-CoV-2 memory T cells were found in 48.4%, 46.7% and 41.7 at 1 month, in 41.9%, 56.7% and 41.7% at 3 months, and in 38.7%, 50.0%, and 41.7% at 6 months, of untreated, teriflunomide-treated and alemtuzumab –treated MS patients, respectively. Administration of a third vaccine booster significantly increased both humoral and cellular responses in all patients. Conclusions MS patients treated with teriflunomide or alemtuzumab achieved effective humoral and cellular immune responses up to 6 months following second COVID-19 vaccination. Immune responses were reinforced following the third vaccine booster.

In-depth characterization of long-term humoral and cellular immune responses to COVID-19m-RNA vaccination in multiple sclerosis patients treated with teriflunomide or alemtuzumab.

BACKGROUND: The impact of disease-modifying therapies on the efficacy to mount appropriate immune responses to COVID-19 vaccination in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) is currently under investigation. OBJECTIVE: To characterize long-term humoral and cellular immunity in mRNA-COVID-19 MS vaccinees treated with teriflunomide or alemtuzumab. METHODS: We prospectively measured SARS-COV-2 IgG, memory B-cells specific for SARS-CoV-2 RBD, and memory T-cells secreting IFN-γ and/or IL-2, in MS patients vaccinated with BNT162b2-COVID-19 vaccine before, 1, 3 and 6 months after the second vaccine dose, and 3-6 months following vaccine booster. RESULTS: Patients were either untreated (N = 31, 21 females), under treatment with teriflunomide (N = 30, 23 females, median treatment duration 3.7 years, range 1.5-7.0 years), or under treatment with alemtuzumab (N = 12, 9 females, median time from last dosing 15.9 months, range 1.8-28.7 months). None of the patients had clinical SARS-CoV-2 or immune evidence for prior infection. Spike IgG titers were similar between untreated, teriflunomide and alemtuzumab treated MS patients both at 1 month (median 1320.7, 25-75 IQR 850.9-3152.8 vs. median 901.7, 25-75 IQR 618.5-1495.8, vs. median 1291.9, 25-75 IQR 590.8-2950.9, BAU/ml, respectively), at 3 months (median 1388.8, 25-75 1064.6-2347.6 vs. median 1164.3 25-75 IQR 726.4-1399.6, vs. median 837.2, 25-75 IQR 739.4-1868.5 BAU/ml, respectively), and at 6 months (median 437.0, 25-75 206.1-1161.3 vs. median 494.3, 25-75 IQR 214.6-716.5, vs. median 176.3, 25-75 IQR 72.3-328.8 BAU/ml, respectively) after the second vaccine dose. Specific SARS-CoV-2 memory B cells were detected in 41.9%, 40.0% and 41.7% of subjects at 1 month, in 32.3%, 43.3% and 25% at 3 months, and in 32.3%, 40.0%, 33.3% at 6 months following vaccination in untreated, teriflunomide treated and alemtuzumab treated MS patients, respectively. Specific SARS-CoV-2 memory T cells were found in 48.4%, 46.7% and 41.7 at 1 month, in 41.9%, 56.7% and 41.7% at 3 months, and in 38.7%, 50.0%, and 41.7% at 6 months, of untreated, teriflunomide-treated and alemtuzumab -treated MS patients, respectively. Administration of a third vaccine booster significantly increased both humoral and cellular responses in all patients. CONCLUSIONS: MS patients treated with teriflunomide or alemtuzumab achieved effective humoral and cellular immune responses up to 6 months following second COVID-19 vaccination. Immune responses were reinforced following the third vaccine booster.

COVID-19 Alpha Variant (B.1.1.7): Humoral, memory B and T cells in COVID-19 pediatric convalescents.

BACKGROUND: Studies of anti-SARS-CoV-2 humoral and adaptive response in COVID-19 non-vaccinated pediatric convalescents are controversial and further evidence from the pediatric population are needed. OBJECTIVES: To elucidate SARS-CoV-2 humoral and memory B- and T-cells responses in pediatric convalescents as compared with the adult. METHODS: Blood samples were obtained from 80 non-vaccinated, IgG-positive, COVID-19 convalescents (age 8.0-61.0 years), 4.0 months from onset. Frequency of responders and magnitudes of SARS-COV-2 IgG, memory B-cells (MBC) and IFNg- and IL2-secreting memory T-cells (MTC) in response to immuno-dominant peptide pools in pediatric, young adults and middle-aged adults with onset age 8-18 years (N = 20), 19-39 years (N = 30) and 40-61 years (N = 30), respectively, were analyzed. SARS-CoV-2 IgG were detected by ELISA (Euroimmun, Germany). MBC, IFNg-, IL2- and IFNg+IL2-secreting MTC (IFNg-MTC, IL2-MTC and IFNg+IL2-MTC) were detected using FluoroSpot (Mabtech, Sweden). RESULTS: MBC level was lower in pediatric as compared with the middle-aged adults (median 12.75 interquartile range [IQR] 4.27-33.7 and 32.0 IQR 6.0-124.2, respectively, p = .003). MBC level in young adults was lower than in middle-aged adults (median 18.5 IQR 1.7-43.8 and 32.0 IQR 6.0-124.2, respectively, p = .006). The level of IL2-MTC was lower in the pediatric group as compared with middle aged-adults (median 2.1 IQR 0-16.9 and 28.6 IQR 11-49.6, respectively, p < .03) and in young adults lower than in middle-aged adults (median 1.45 IQR 0-18.6 and 28.6 IQR 11-49.6, respectively, p = .02). In addition, the level of IFNg-MTC was lower in pediatric as compared with young adults (median 4.25 IQR 0.0-15.0 and 20.9 IQR 0-75.2, respectively, p = .05). The level of IgG was comparable between pediatric and both young and middle-aged adult groups (4.82 ± 2.95, 3.70 ± 2.65 and 4.9 ± 2.94, respectively, p > .34). CONCLUSION: Non-vaccinated COVID-19 pediatric convalescents have lower adaptive immune responses than adults sustaining the recommendation for vaccination of the pediatric population.

The intercorrelations between blood levels of ferritin, sCD163, and IL-18 in COVID-19 patients and their association to prognosis.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with immune dysregulation, severe respiratory failure, and multiple organ dysfunction caused by a cytokine storm involving high blood levels of ferritin and IL-18. Furthermore, there is a resemblance between COVID-19 and macrophage activation syndrome (MAS) characterized by high concentrations of soluble CD163 (sCD163) receptor and IL-18. High levels of ferritin, IL-18, and sCD163 receptor are associated with "hyperferritinemic syndrome", a family of diseases that appears to include COVID-19. In this retrospective cohort study, we tested the association and intercorrelations in the serum levels of ferritin, sCD163, and IL-18 and their impact on the prognosis of COVID-19. We analyzed data of 70 hospitalized patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The levels of sCD163, ferritin, and IL-18 were measured and the correlation of these parameters with the respiratory deterioration and overall 30-day survival was assessed. Among the 70 patients, 60 survived 30 days from hospitalization. There were substantial differences between the subjects who were alive following 30 days compared to those who expired. The differences were referring to lymphocyte and leukocyte count, CRP, D-dimer, ferritin, sCD163, and IL-18. Results showed high levels of IL-18 (median, 444 pg/mL in the survival group compared with 916 pg/mL in the mortality group, p-value 8.54 × 10-2), a statistically significant rise in levels of ferritin (median, 484 ng/mL in the survival group compared with 1004 ng/mL in the mortality group p-value, 7.94 × 10-3), and an elevated value of in sCD163 (mean, 559 ng/mL in the survival group compared with 840 ng/mL in the mortality group, p-value 1.68 × 10-2). There was no significant correlation between the rise of ferritin and the levels sCD163 or IL-18. Taken together, sCD163, ferritin, and IL-18 were found to correlate with the severity of COVID-19 infection. Although these markers are associated with COVID-19 and might contribute to the cytokine storm, no intercorrelation was found among them. It cannot be excluded though that the results depend on the timing of sampling, assuming that they play distinct roles in different stages of the disease course. The data represented herein may provide clinical benefit in improving our understanding of the pathological course of the disease. Furthermore, measuring these biomarkers during the disease progression may help target them at the right time and refine the decision-making regarding the requirement for hospitalization.

The risk of infections for multiple sclerosis and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder disease-modifying treatments: Eighth European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis Focused Workshop Review. April 2021.

Over the recent years, the treatment of multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) has evolved very rapidly and a large number of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) are now available. However, most DMTs are associated with adverse events, the most frequent of which being infections. Consideration of all DMT-associated risks facilitates development of risk mitigation strategies. An international focused workshop with expert-led discussions was sponsored by the European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis (ECTRIMS) and was held in April 2021 to review our current knowledge about the risk of infections associated with the use of DMTs for people with MS and NMOSD and corresponding risk mitigation strategies. The workshop addressed DMT-associated infections in specific populations, such as children and pregnant women with MS, or people with MS who have other comorbidities or live in regions with an exceptionally high infection burden. Finally, we reviewed the topic of DMT-associated infectious risks in the context of the current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Herein, we summarize available evidence and identify gaps in knowledge which justify further research.

Immune response to the third COVID-19 vaccine dose is related to lymphocyte count in multiple sclerosis patients treated with fingolimod.

BACKGROUND: The majority of multiple sclerosis [MS] patients treated with fingolimod fail to develop a protective level of IgG humoral and adaptive cellular immune responses following full BNT162b2 SARS-CoV-2 vaccination. OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficacy of the third COVID-19 vaccine dose in vaccine non-responders fingolimod-treated MS patients. STUDY DESIGN: This is a prospective 3-month, single-center, randomized clinical trial. METHODS: Twenty relapsing MS patients who had been on fingolimod therapy ≥ 12 months and failed to develop humoral IgG immune response to 2-dose Pfizer BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination were randomized into two groups: fingolimod-continuation group and fingolimod-discontinuation group. Humoral and memory cellular immune responses were assessed within 1 and 3 months following the third Pfizer BNT162b2 vaccine dose and compared between the groups. RESULTS: A higher rate of patients in the fingolimod-discontinuation group [n = 8/10] compared to fingolimod-continuation group [n = 2/10] developed positive SARS-COV-2 IgG. Median IgG titer 1 month following the third dose was 202.3 BAU/ml vs. 26.4 BAU/ml, respectively, p = 0.022. The development of IgG humoral response correlated with absolute lymphocyte count. Specific SARS-COV-2 memory B cell and T cell immune responses were not detected in both groups, either at 1 month or 3 months following the third COVID-19 vaccine dose. CONCLUSIONS: Short period of fingolimod treatment discontinuation was associated with the development of humoral protection but not with adaptive cellular immunity.

COVID-19 vaccination in patients with multiple sclerosis: Safety and humoral efficacy of the third booster dose.

BACKGROUND: As immunity against SARS-COV-2 wanes following first and second doses of vaccination, a third dose is administered in several countries around the world. Similarly to the first doses, risks related to vaccination and humoral immune response in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) need to be assessed. OBJECTIVE: Characterize safety and humoral immune response following the third dose of COVID-19 vaccination in a large cohort of MS patients. METHODS: We assessed the safety of the third dose of the BNT162b2-COVID-19 mRNA vaccination in adult MS patients and evaluated SARS-CoV-2 IgG response. RESULTS: Two hundred and eleven adult MS patients received a third dose of BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination. Median follow up time was 66 days from vaccine administration (IQR 54-84). The frequency of any adverse event was 54.5%, with the most common reported adverse events being fatigue, local pain at the injection site, fever and muscle or joint pain. Transient increase in MS symptoms was reported in 3.8% of patients, none of them requiring treatment. The rate of acute relapses treated with IV steroids was 3.3%. In a sub-group of 55 patients, 20 untreated and 35 treated with vaccination-safe disease-modifying treatments, SARS-CoV-2 IgG levels increased 21-fold (median ± SD 21.6 ± 53.05). CONCLUSIONS: The third dose of COVID-19-BNT162b2 vaccine proved safe for MS patients, with no increased risk of relapse activity. Untreated patients and patients treated with vaccination-safe disease-modifying treatments show significant increase in SARS-CoV-2 IgG levels following the third dose of vaccination.

SARS-CoV-2 memory B and T cell profiles in mild COVID-19 convalescent patients.

OBJECTIVES: Antiviral adaptive immunity involves memory B cells (MBC) and memory T cells (MTC). The dynamics of MBC and MTC in severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) convalescents warrant further investigation. METHODS: In this cross-sectional and longitudinal study, blood-derived MBC and MTC responses were evaluated in 68 anti-spike IgG-positive mild coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) convalescents at visit 1, between 1 and 7 months (median 4.1 months) after disease onset. SARS-CoV-2 anti-spike IgG was determined by ELISA, MBC by SARS-CoV-2-specific receptor binding domain (RBD) ELISpot, and interferon gamma (IFN-γ)-, interleukin 2 (IL2)-, and IFN-γ+IL2-secreting MTC by IFN-γ and IL2 SARS-CoV-2 FluoroSpot. For 24 patients sampled at the first visit, the IgG, MBC, and MTC analyses were also performed 3 months later at the second visit. RESULTS: Seventy-two percent of convalescents were both MBC- and MTC-positive, 18% were MBC-positive and MTC-negative, and 10% were MTC-positive and MBC-negative. The peak MBC response level was detected at 3 months after COVID-19 onset and persisted up to 7 months post infection. Significant MTC levels were detected 1 month after onset in response to S1, S2_N, and SNMO peptide pools. The frequency and magnitude of the MTC response to SNMO was higher than those to S1 and S2_N. Longitudinal analysis demonstrated that even when specific humoral immunity declined, the cellular immunity persisted. CONCLUSIONS: The study findings demonstrate the durability of adaptive cellular immunity at least for 7 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection, suggesting long-lasting protection.

Humoral immune response in multiple sclerosis patients following PfizerBNT162b2 COVID19 vaccination: Up to 6 months cross-sectional study.

Appropriate immune response following COVID-19 vaccination is important in the context of disease-modifying treatments (DMTs). In a prospective cross-sectional study, we determined SARS-COV-2 IgG response up to 6 months following PfizerBNT162b2 vaccination in 414 multiple sclerosis (MS) patients and 89 healthy subjects. Protective response was demonstrated in untreated MS patients (N = 76, 100%), treated with Cladribine (N = 48, 100%), Dimethyl fumarate (N = 35, 100%), Natalizumab (N = 32, 100%), and Teriflunomide (N = 39, 100%), similarly to healthy subjects (N = 89, 97.8%). Response was decreased in Fingolimod (N = 42, 9.5%), Ocrelizumab (N = 114, 22.8%) and Alemtuzumab (N = 22, 86.4%) treated patients. IgG response can help tailor adequate vaccine guidelines for MS patients under various DMTs.

Humoral immune response to COVID-19 mRNA vaccine in patients with multiple sclerosis treated with high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The National Multiple Sclerosis Society and other expert organizations recommended that all patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) should be vaccinated against COVID-19. However, the effect of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) on the efficacy to mount an appropriate immune response is unknown. We aimed to characterize humoral immunity in mRNA-COVID-19 MS vaccinees treated with high-efficacy DMTs. METHODS: We measured SARS-CoV-2 IgG response using anti-spike protein-based serology (EUROIMMUN) in 125 MS patients vaccinated with BNT162b2-COVID-19 vaccine 1 month after the second dose. Patients were either untreated or under treatment with fingolimod, cladribine, or ocrelizumab. A group of healthy subjects similarly vaccinated served as control. The percent of subjects that developed protective antibodies, the titer, and the time from the last dosing were evaluated. RESULTS: Protective humoral immunity of 97.9%, 100%, 100%, 22.7%, and 3.8%, was observed in COVID-19 vaccinated healthy subjects (N = 47), untreated MS patients (N = 32), and MS patients treated with cladribine (N = 23), ocrelizumab (N = 44), and fingolimod (N = 26), respectively. SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody titer was high in healthy subjects, untreated MS patients, and MS patients under cladribine treatment, within 29.5-55 days after the second vaccine dose. Only 22.7% of patients treated with ocrelizumab developed humoral IgG response irrespective to normal absolute lymphocyte count. Most fingolimod-treated MS patients had very low lymphocyte count and failed to develop SARS-COV-2 antibodies. Age, disease duration, and time from the last dosing did not affect humoral response to COVID-19 vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Cladribine treatment does not impair humoral response to COVID-19 vaccination. We recommend postponing ocrelizumab treatment in MS patients willing to be vaccinated as a protective humoral response can be expected only in some. We do not recommend vaccinating MS patients treated with fingolimod as a protective humoral response is not expected.

COVID-19 vaccination in patients with multiple sclerosis: What we have learnt by February 2021.

BACKGROUND: Since vaccination against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) became available, risks related to vaccinating patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) need to be carefully assessed. OBJECTIVE: Characterize safety and occurrence of immediate relapses following COVID-19 vaccination in a large cohort of MS patients. METHODS: We assessed the safety of BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination in adult MS patients. RESULTS: Between 20 December 2020 and 25 January 2021, 555 MS patients received the first dose of BNT162b2 vaccine and 435 received the second dose. There were three cases of COVID-19 infection encountered after the first dose. Safety profile of COVID-19 vaccine was characterized by pain at the injection site, fatigue, and headache. No increased risk of relapse activity was noted over a median follow-up of 20 and 38 days after first and second vaccine doses, respectively. The rate of patients with acute relapse was 2.1% and 1.6% following the first and second doses, respectively, similar to the rate in non-vaccinating patients during the corresponding period. Mild increase in the rate of adverse events was noted in younger patients (18-55 years), among patients with lower disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) ⩽3.0), and in patients treated with immunomodulatory drugs. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 BNT162b2 vaccine proved safe for MS patients. No increased risk of relapse activity was noted.

SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics and B-cell memory response over time in COVID-19 convalescent subjects.

OBJECTIVES: The worldwide spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) highlights the need for assessment of long-term humoral immunity in convalescent subjects. Our objectives were to evaluate long-term IgG antibody response to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and B-cell memory response in COVID-19 convalescent subjects. METHODS: Blood samples were collected from a cohort of subjects recovering from COVID-19 and from healthy subjects who donated blood. SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies were quantitatively detected by ELISA using anti-S1 spike IgG. SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific IgG memory B cells were evaluated by reversed B-cell FluroSpot based on human IgG SARS-CoV-2 receptor-binding domain in a randomly selected group of subjects recovering from COVID-19. Statistical analysis was performed with clinical variables and time post COVID-19 infection. RESULTS: Antibody response was not detected in 26 of 392 COVID-19 convalescent subjects (6.6%). Over a period of 9 months, the level of antibodies decreased by 50% but stabilized at 6 months, and a protective level prevailed for up to 9 months. No differences were found regarding IgG SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels for age, gender, and major blood types over time. Over time, asymptomatic COVID-19 subjects did not differ in antibody level from subjects with mild to severe disease. Repeated paired IgG SARS-CoV-2 antibody level analyses disclosed that, over 6 and 9 months, 15.3% (nine of 59) and 15.8% (three of 19) of subjects became SARS-CoV-2 IgG-seronegative, respectively, all with a low antibody level at 3 months. Rate of antibody decline was not affected by age, gender, or clinical symptomatology. In a subgroup of recovering subjects, memory B-cell response up to 9 months post-COVID-19 infection was undetectable in 31.8% of subjects (14/44), and there was no correlation with age, SARS-CoV-2 antibody level, or time post infection. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of convalescent COVID-19 subjects develop an IgG SARS-CoV-2 antibody response and a protective level prevails over a period of up to 9 months, regardless of age, gender, major blood types or clinical symptomatology.

Physical activity behavior in people with multiple sclerosis during the COVID-19 pandemic in Israel: Results of an online survey.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) itself and first-line disease modifying therapies do not increase the risk of contracting COVID-19. However, home isolation is likely to result in a significant decrease in participation in leisure time physical activities and an increase in sedentary behavior. Therefore, using an online cross-sectional survey we examined the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on physical activity (PA) behavior and fitness level in an Israeli cohort of people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). The survey PA questionnaire included 10 questions. Specifically, participants reported on whether, and to what extent, the pandemic conditions had altered their PA behavior. One hundred and twenty PwMS filled out the online survey, 78 were females with a mean age of 43.0 (S.D.=12.9) years. PA behavior during the pandemic demonstrated that 17.5% who were engaged in PA before the COVID-19 pandemic, ceased PA, 33.3% reduced their PA, 20.0% continued their PA as before, 18.3% increased their PA during the pandemic, and 10.8% did not perform any PA in the past and did not so during the pandemic. As for the patient's self-reported fitness level, 31.7% reported that their fitness level had decreased during the pandemic, 60.0% felt no change, and 8.3% reported an improvement. Our findings serve as a call of action for all professionals involved in MS management to address physical activity behavior in PwMS during the COVID-19 epidemic.

Coronavirus 2019 outbreak pathogenesis: Why China and Italy?

COVID-19 has spread to most countries in the world. However, there are differences in the rate of infection in different countries. Specifically, high incidence was reported in specific areas in China (Wuhan) and Italy (Lombardy). These differences may be related to different Human Leucocyte Antigen (HLA) patterns in various geographic areas. We suggest HLA spreading between Italy and China is related to the travels of Marco Polo through the Silk Road as a potential historic explanation to COVID-19 spreading.

Cytokine prediction of mortality in COVID19 patients.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID19) is a life-threatening infection with uncertain progression and outcome. Assessing the severity of the disease for worsening patients is of importance in making decisions related to supportive mechanical ventilation and aggressive treatments. This was a prospective, non-randomized study that included hospitalized patients diagnosed with COVID19. Pro-inflammatory cytokines were assessed during hospitalization, and we calculated a prediction paradigm for 30-day mortality based on the serum levels of interleukin1ß (IL1ß), interleukin6 (IL6), interleukin8 (IL8), and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFα) measured by next-generation ELISA. Data of 71 COVID19 patients, mean age 62 years, SD13.8, 50 males, 21 females, were analyzed. Twelve (16.9%) patients died within 7-39 days of their first COVID19 positive nasopharyngeal test. Levels of IL6 and TNFα were significantly higher in patients that did not survive. IL6 predicted mortality at the cut-off value of 163.4 pg/ml, with a sensitivity of 91.7% and specificity of 57.6%. Our findings demonstrate that IL6 expression is significant for the prediction of 30-day mortality in hospitalized COVID19 patients and, therefore, may assist in treatment decisions.